Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:18 AM, 171 voters in 25 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,326 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 138,392 - 204,463). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:18 AM 2567 c(2.5% = 1917) c(97.5% = 2753)
02 11:18 AM 4202 c(2.5% = 3042) c(97.5% = 4611)
03 11:18 AM 2380 c(2.5% = 1955) c(97.5% = 2629)
04 11:18 AM 2389 c(2.5% = 1908) c(97.5% = 2714)
05 11:18 AM 6174 c(2.5% = 4323) c(97.5% = 6542)
06 11:18 AM 1617 c(2.5% = 1362) c(97.5% = 1780)
07 11:18 AM 1603 c(2.5% = 819) c(97.5% = 2378)
08 11:18 AM 5704 c(2.5% = 3965) c(97.5% = 6129)
09 11:18 AM 2749 c(2.5% = 2136) c(97.5% = 3110)
10 11:18 AM 3472 c(2.5% = 2872) c(97.5% = 3876)
11 11:18 AM 1519 c(2.5% = 1199) c(97.5% = 1756)
12 11:18 AM 2622 c(2.5% = 2166) c(97.5% = 2912)
13 11:18 AM 2360 c(2.5% = 1930) c(97.5% = 2656)
14 11:18 AM 1041 c(2.5% = 870) c(97.5% = 1140)
15 11:18 AM 2986 c(2.5% = 2214) c(97.5% = 3272)
16 11:18 AM 1271 c(2.5% = 947) c(97.5% = 1519)
17 11:18 AM 2892 c(2.5% = 2358) c(97.5% = 3204)
18 11:18 AM 2523 c(2.5% = 1743) c(97.5% = 2756)
19 11:18 AM 1195 c(2.5% = 718) c(97.5% = 1631)
20 11:18 AM 1189 c(2.5% = 839) c(97.5% = 1444)
21 11:18 AM 6699 c(2.5% = 4469) c(97.5% = 7512)
22 11:18 AM 3675 c(2.5% = 3189) c(97.5% = 4015)
23 11:18 AM 2194 c(2.5% = 1589) c(97.5% = 2528)
24 11:18 AM 1874 c(2.5% = 1372) c(97.5% = 2146)
25 11:18 AM 1794 c(2.5% = 1101) c(97.5% = 2100)
26 11:18 AM 2560 c(2.5% = 1622) c(97.5% = 2828)
27 11:18 AM 3377 c(2.5% = 1935) c(97.5% = 4065)
28 11:18 AM 1353 c(2.5% = 1019) c(97.5% = 1612)
29 11:18 AM 1354 c(2.5% = 1102) c(97.5% = 1479)
30 11:18 AM 2716 c(2.5% = 2168) c(97.5% = 2915)
31 11:18 AM 2264 c(2.5% = 1479) c(97.5% = 2380)
32 11:18 AM 2255 c(2.5% = 1677) c(97.5% = 2677)
33 11:18 AM 1878 c(2.5% = 1039) c(97.5% = 2585)
34 11:18 AM 4958 c(2.5% = 4151) c(97.5% = 5443)
35 11:18 AM 3354 c(2.5% = 2405) c(97.5% = 3871)
36 11:18 AM 4037 c(2.5% = 3197) c(97.5% = 4412)
37 11:18 AM 1449 c(2.5% = 1044) c(97.5% = 1763)
38 11:18 AM 2471 c(2.5% = 1921) c(97.5% = 2701)
39 11:18 AM 4871 c(2.5% = 3198) c(97.5% = 5406)
40 11:18 AM 5178 c(2.5% = 4041) c(97.5% = 5783)
41 11:18 AM 1990 c(2.5% = 1247) c(97.5% = 2377)
42 11:18 AM 2601 c(2.5% = 1758) c(97.5% = 3209)
43 11:18 AM 2024 c(2.5% = 1278) c(97.5% = 2657)
44 11:18 AM 1607 c(2.5% = 1281) c(97.5% = 1824)
45 11:18 AM 2266 c(2.5% = 1424) c(97.5% = 2627)
46 11:18 AM 3051 c(2.5% = 2628) c(97.5% = 3344)
47 11:18 AM 977 c(2.5% = 767) c(97.5% = 1098)
48 11:18 AM 2305 c(2.5% = 1751) c(97.5% = 2549)
49 11:18 AM 2930 c(2.5% = 2346) c(97.5% = 3314)
50 11:18 AM 4046 c(2.5% = 3428) c(97.5% = 4503)
51 11:18 AM 2604 c(2.5% = 2167) c(97.5% = 2952)
52 11:18 AM 3194 c(2.5% = 2691) c(97.5% = 3540)
53 11:18 AM 2268 c(2.5% = 1533) c(97.5% = 2656)
54 11:18 AM 1632 c(2.5% = 992) c(97.5% = 2033)
55 11:18 AM 2592 c(2.5% = 1645) c(97.5% = 3129)
56 11:18 AM 3783 c(2.5% = 2402) c(97.5% = 4526)
57 11:18 AM 3295 c(2.5% = 2105) c(97.5% = 3833)
58 11:18 AM 5520 c(2.5% = 3471) c(97.5% = 6445)
59 11:18 AM 2796 c(2.5% = 2338) c(97.5% = 3072)
60 11:18 AM 2222 c(2.5% = 1853) c(97.5% = 2460)
61 11:18 AM 3448 c(2.5% = 2748) c(97.5% = 3866)
62 11:18 AM 2442 c(2.5% = 1576) c(97.5% = 2969)
63 11:18 AM 3130 c(2.5% = 2101) c(97.5% = 3657)
64 11:18 AM 1767 c(2.5% = 1163) c(97.5% = 2100)
65 11:18 AM 2572 c(2.5% = 1681) c(97.5% = 3029)
66 11:18 AM 5495 c(2.5% = 3680) c(97.5% = 6297)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions