Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:18 AM, 171 voters in 25 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,326 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 138,392 - 204,463). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	11:18 AM	2567	c(2.5% = 1917)	c(97.5% = 2753)
02	11:18 AM	4202	c(2.5% = 3042)	c(97.5% = 4611)
03	11:18 AM	2380	c(2.5% = 1955)	c(97.5% = 2629)
04	11:18 AM	2389	c(2.5% = 1908)	c(97.5% = 2714)
05	11:18 AM	6174	c(2.5% = 4323)	c(97.5% = 6542)
06	11:18 AM	1617	c(2.5% = 1362)	c(97.5% = 1780)
07	11:18 AM	1603	c(2.5% = 819)	c(97.5% = 2378)
08	11:18 AM	5704	c(2.5% = 3965)	c(97.5% = 6129)
09	11:18 AM	2749	c(2.5% = 2136)	c(97.5% = 3110)
10	11:18 AM	3472	c(2.5% = 2872)	c(97.5% = 3876)
11	11:18 AM	1519	c(2.5% = 1199)	c(97.5% = 1756)
12	11:18 AM	2622	c(2.5% = 2166)	c(97.5% = 2912)
13	11:18 AM	2360	c(2.5% = 1930)	c(97.5% = 2656)
14	11:18 AM	1041	c(2.5% = 870)	c(97.5% = 1140)
15	11:18 AM	2986	c(2.5% = 2214)	c(97.5% = 3272)
16	11:18 AM	1271	c(2.5% = 947)	c(97.5% = 1519)
17	11:18 AM	2892	c(2.5% = 2358)	c(97.5% = 3204)
18	11:18 AM	2523	c(2.5% = 1743)	c(97.5% = 2756)
19	11:18 AM	1195	c(2.5% = 718)	c(97.5% = 1631)
20	11:18 AM	1189	c(2.5% = 839)	c(97.5% = 1444)
21	11:18 AM	6699	c(2.5% = 4469)	c(97.5% = 7512)
22	11:18 AM	3675	c(2.5% = 3189)	c(97.5% = 4015)
23	11:18 AM	2194	c(2.5% = 1589)	c(97.5% = 2528)
24	11:18 AM	1874	c(2.5% = 1372)	c(97.5% = 2146)
25	11:18 AM	1794	c(2.5% = 1101)	c(97.5% = 2100)
26	11:18 AM	2560	c(2.5% = 1622)	c(97.5% = 2828)
27	11:18 AM	3377	c(2.5% = 1935)	c(97.5% = 4065)
28	11:18 AM	1353	c(2.5% = 1019)	c(97.5% = 1612)
29	11:18 AM	1354	c(2.5% = 1102)	c(97.5% = 1479)
30	11:18 AM	2716	c(2.5% = 2168)	c(97.5% = 2915)
31	11:18 AM	2264	c(2.5% = 1479)	c(97.5% = 2380)
32	11:18 AM	2255	c(2.5% = 1677)	c(97.5% = 2677)
33	11:18 AM	1878	c(2.5% = 1039)	c(97.5% = 2585)
34	11:18 AM	4958	c(2.5% = 4151)	c(97.5% = 5443)
35	11:18 AM	3354	c(2.5% = 2405)	c(97.5% = 3871)
36	11:18 AM	4037	c(2.5% = 3197)	c(97.5% = 4412)
37	11:18 AM	1449	c(2.5% = 1044)	c(97.5% = 1763)
38	11:18 AM	2471	c(2.5% = 1921)	c(97.5% = 2701)
39	11:18 AM	4871	c(2.5% = 3198)	c(97.5% = 5406)
40	11:18 AM	5178	c(2.5% = 4041)	c(97.5% = 5783)
41	11:18 AM	1990	c(2.5% = 1247)	c(97.5% = 2377)
42	11:18 AM	2601	c(2.5% = 1758)	c(97.5% = 3209)
43	11:18 AM	2024	c(2.5% = 1278)	c(97.5% = 2657)
44	11:18 AM	1607	c(2.5% = 1281)	c(97.5% = 1824)
45	11:18 AM	2266	c(2.5% = 1424)	c(97.5% = 2627)
46	11:18 AM	3051	c(2.5% = 2628)	c(97.5% = 3344)
47	11:18 AM	977	c(2.5% = 767)	c(97.5% = 1098)
48	11:18 AM	2305	c(2.5% = 1751)	c(97.5% = 2549)
49	11:18 AM	2930	c(2.5% = 2346)	c(97.5% = 3314)
50	11:18 AM	4046	c(2.5% = 3428)	c(97.5% = 4503)
51	11:18 AM	2604	c(2.5% = 2167)	c(97.5% = 2952)
52	11:18 AM	3194	c(2.5% = 2691)	c(97.5% = 3540)
53	11:18 AM	2268	c(2.5% = 1533)	c(97.5% = 2656)
54	11:18 AM	1632	c(2.5% = 992)	c(97.5% = 2033)
55	11:18 AM	2592	c(2.5% = 1645)	c(97.5% = 3129)
56	11:18 AM	3783	c(2.5% = 2402)	c(97.5% = 4526)
57	11:18 AM	3295	c(2.5% = 2105)	c(97.5% = 3833)
58	11:18 AM	5520	c(2.5% = 3471)	c(97.5% = 6445)
59	11:18 AM	2796	c(2.5% = 2338)	c(97.5% = 3072)
60	11:18 AM	2222	c(2.5% = 1853)	c(97.5% = 2460)
61	11:18 AM	3448	c(2.5% = 2748)	c(97.5% = 3866)
62	11:18 AM	2442	c(2.5% = 1576)	c(97.5% = 2969)
63	11:18 AM	3130	c(2.5% = 2101)	c(97.5% = 3657)
64	11:18 AM	1767	c(2.5% = 1163)	c(97.5% = 2100)
65	11:18 AM	2572	c(2.5% = 1681)	c(97.5% = 3029)
66	11:18 AM	5495	c(2.5% = 3680)	c(97.5% = 6297)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:11 AM	3103	151
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91
9:00 AM	0822	1
11:00 AM	2101	131
10:00 AM	0101	79
10:00 AM	0102	90
10:00 AM	0103	136
10:00 AM	0104	92
10:00 AM	0105	45
10:00 AM	0106	93
10:00 AM	0107	40
10:00 AM	0108	89
10:00 AM	0109	83
10:00 AM	0110	104
10:00 AM	0111	86
10:00 AM	0112	69
10:00 AM	0113	122
10:00 AM	0114	85
10:00 AM	0115	139
10:00 AM	0116	68
10:00 AM	0117	79
10:00 AM	0118	121
10:00 AM	0119	75
10:00 AM	0120	106
10:00 AM	0121	130
11:17 AM	3943	119
11:00 AM	1811	150
11:18 AM	4701	135
11:00 AM	3103	5
11:15 AM	0526	175
11:00 AM	5904	142
8:30 AM	0504	105

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions