Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 11:18 AM, 171 voters in 25 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,326 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 138,392 - 204,463). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 11:18 AM | 2567 |
c(2.5% = 1917)
|
c(97.5% = 2753)
|
| 02 | 11:18 AM | 4202 |
c(2.5% = 3042)
|
c(97.5% = 4611)
|
| 03 | 11:18 AM | 2380 |
c(2.5% = 1955)
|
c(97.5% = 2629)
|
| 04 | 11:18 AM | 2389 |
c(2.5% = 1908)
|
c(97.5% = 2714)
|
| 05 | 11:18 AM | 6174 |
c(2.5% = 4323)
|
c(97.5% = 6542)
|
| 06 | 11:18 AM | 1617 |
c(2.5% = 1362)
|
c(97.5% = 1780)
|
| 07 | 11:18 AM | 1603 |
c(2.5% = 819)
|
c(97.5% = 2378)
|
| 08 | 11:18 AM | 5704 |
c(2.5% = 3965)
|
c(97.5% = 6129)
|
| 09 | 11:18 AM | 2749 |
c(2.5% = 2136)
|
c(97.5% = 3110)
|
| 10 | 11:18 AM | 3472 |
c(2.5% = 2872)
|
c(97.5% = 3876)
|
| 11 | 11:18 AM | 1519 |
c(2.5% = 1199)
|
c(97.5% = 1756)
|
| 12 | 11:18 AM | 2622 |
c(2.5% = 2166)
|
c(97.5% = 2912)
|
| 13 | 11:18 AM | 2360 |
c(2.5% = 1930)
|
c(97.5% = 2656)
|
| 14 | 11:18 AM | 1041 |
c(2.5% = 870)
|
c(97.5% = 1140)
|
| 15 | 11:18 AM | 2986 |
c(2.5% = 2214)
|
c(97.5% = 3272)
|
| 16 | 11:18 AM | 1271 |
c(2.5% = 947)
|
c(97.5% = 1519)
|
| 17 | 11:18 AM | 2892 |
c(2.5% = 2358)
|
c(97.5% = 3204)
|
| 18 | 11:18 AM | 2523 |
c(2.5% = 1743)
|
c(97.5% = 2756)
|
| 19 | 11:18 AM | 1195 |
c(2.5% = 718)
|
c(97.5% = 1631)
|
| 20 | 11:18 AM | 1189 |
c(2.5% = 839)
|
c(97.5% = 1444)
|
| 21 | 11:18 AM | 6699 |
c(2.5% = 4469)
|
c(97.5% = 7512)
|
| 22 | 11:18 AM | 3675 |
c(2.5% = 3189)
|
c(97.5% = 4015)
|
| 23 | 11:18 AM | 2194 |
c(2.5% = 1589)
|
c(97.5% = 2528)
|
| 24 | 11:18 AM | 1874 |
c(2.5% = 1372)
|
c(97.5% = 2146)
|
| 25 | 11:18 AM | 1794 |
c(2.5% = 1101)
|
c(97.5% = 2100)
|
| 26 | 11:18 AM | 2560 |
c(2.5% = 1622)
|
c(97.5% = 2828)
|
| 27 | 11:18 AM | 3377 |
c(2.5% = 1935)
|
c(97.5% = 4065)
|
| 28 | 11:18 AM | 1353 |
c(2.5% = 1019)
|
c(97.5% = 1612)
|
| 29 | 11:18 AM | 1354 |
c(2.5% = 1102)
|
c(97.5% = 1479)
|
| 30 | 11:18 AM | 2716 |
c(2.5% = 2168)
|
c(97.5% = 2915)
|
| 31 | 11:18 AM | 2264 |
c(2.5% = 1479)
|
c(97.5% = 2380)
|
| 32 | 11:18 AM | 2255 |
c(2.5% = 1677)
|
c(97.5% = 2677)
|
| 33 | 11:18 AM | 1878 |
c(2.5% = 1039)
|
c(97.5% = 2585)
|
| 34 | 11:18 AM | 4958 |
c(2.5% = 4151)
|
c(97.5% = 5443)
|
| 35 | 11:18 AM | 3354 |
c(2.5% = 2405)
|
c(97.5% = 3871)
|
| 36 | 11:18 AM | 4037 |
c(2.5% = 3197)
|
c(97.5% = 4412)
|
| 37 | 11:18 AM | 1449 |
c(2.5% = 1044)
|
c(97.5% = 1763)
|
| 38 | 11:18 AM | 2471 |
c(2.5% = 1921)
|
c(97.5% = 2701)
|
| 39 | 11:18 AM | 4871 |
c(2.5% = 3198)
|
c(97.5% = 5406)
|
| 40 | 11:18 AM | 5178 |
c(2.5% = 4041)
|
c(97.5% = 5783)
|
| 41 | 11:18 AM | 1990 |
c(2.5% = 1247)
|
c(97.5% = 2377)
|
| 42 | 11:18 AM | 2601 |
c(2.5% = 1758)
|
c(97.5% = 3209)
|
| 43 | 11:18 AM | 2024 |
c(2.5% = 1278)
|
c(97.5% = 2657)
|
| 44 | 11:18 AM | 1607 |
c(2.5% = 1281)
|
c(97.5% = 1824)
|
| 45 | 11:18 AM | 2266 |
c(2.5% = 1424)
|
c(97.5% = 2627)
|
| 46 | 11:18 AM | 3051 |
c(2.5% = 2628)
|
c(97.5% = 3344)
|
| 47 | 11:18 AM | 977 |
c(2.5% = 767)
|
c(97.5% = 1098)
|
| 48 | 11:18 AM | 2305 |
c(2.5% = 1751)
|
c(97.5% = 2549)
|
| 49 | 11:18 AM | 2930 |
c(2.5% = 2346)
|
c(97.5% = 3314)
|
| 50 | 11:18 AM | 4046 |
c(2.5% = 3428)
|
c(97.5% = 4503)
|
| 51 | 11:18 AM | 2604 |
c(2.5% = 2167)
|
c(97.5% = 2952)
|
| 52 | 11:18 AM | 3194 |
c(2.5% = 2691)
|
c(97.5% = 3540)
|
| 53 | 11:18 AM | 2268 |
c(2.5% = 1533)
|
c(97.5% = 2656)
|
| 54 | 11:18 AM | 1632 |
c(2.5% = 992)
|
c(97.5% = 2033)
|
| 55 | 11:18 AM | 2592 |
c(2.5% = 1645)
|
c(97.5% = 3129)
|
| 56 | 11:18 AM | 3783 |
c(2.5% = 2402)
|
c(97.5% = 4526)
|
| 57 | 11:18 AM | 3295 |
c(2.5% = 2105)
|
c(97.5% = 3833)
|
| 58 | 11:18 AM | 5520 |
c(2.5% = 3471)
|
c(97.5% = 6445)
|
| 59 | 11:18 AM | 2796 |
c(2.5% = 2338)
|
c(97.5% = 3072)
|
| 60 | 11:18 AM | 2222 |
c(2.5% = 1853)
|
c(97.5% = 2460)
|
| 61 | 11:18 AM | 3448 |
c(2.5% = 2748)
|
c(97.5% = 3866)
|
| 62 | 11:18 AM | 2442 |
c(2.5% = 1576)
|
c(97.5% = 2969)
|
| 63 | 11:18 AM | 3130 |
c(2.5% = 2101)
|
c(97.5% = 3657)
|
| 64 | 11:18 AM | 1767 |
c(2.5% = 1163)
|
c(97.5% = 2100)
|
| 65 | 11:18 AM | 2572 |
c(2.5% = 1681)
|
c(97.5% = 3029)
|
| 66 | 11:18 AM | 5495 |
c(2.5% = 3680)
|
c(97.5% = 6297)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions